Eskilstuna Smederna vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 10, 2018 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren0 3 2 3 210
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski1 3 0 15
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 3 05
- 4Mikkel Michelsen2 1 1 2 17+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 0 1 1 38+1
- 6Pontus Aspgren3 1 2 17+1
- 7Linus Eklöf2 1 03+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 3 1 3 211+1
- 3Chris Holder3 2 3 3 2 316
- 4Kacper Woryna3 1 2 1 2 09+2
- 5Rohan TungateM 0 3 0 03
- 6Mathias Thörnblom0 0 1 R1
- 7Timo Lahti1 2 0 25
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2*
- Timo Lahti · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Timo Lahti · LEJ2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · LEJM
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Timo Lahti · LEJ0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Timo Lahti · LEJ2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME0
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJR
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ3
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME1
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Fredrik Lindgren · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Rohan Tungate · LEJ0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · SME3
- Jarosław Hampel · LEJ2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Kacper Woryna · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18–27 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NE
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | LEJ | SME | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 6 | 9.6 | 16 | +6.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 12.0 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.