Eskilstuna Smederna vs Masarna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 13, 2017 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 0 2 1 16
- 2Pontus AspgrenR 1 2 14+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 2 3 2 FX10
- 4Mikkel MichelsenFX 1 01+1
- 5Matej Zagar3 3 1 3 3 316
- 6Grzegorz Walasek2 R 13+1
- 7Linus EklöfF 0 22
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 3 213
- 2Artur Czaja1 01
- 3Tai Woffinden2 3 2 29+1
- 4Linus Sundstroem3 2 1 0 17+1
- 5Antonio Lindbäck2 1 3 06
- 6Joel Andersson1 0 1 02
- 7Kim Nilsson3 1 3 0 3 M10+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Artur Czaja · MAS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SMER
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME2
- Joel Andersson · MAS1
- Linus Eklöf · SMEF
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SMEFX
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · SMER
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Artur Czaja · MAS0
- Tai Woffinden · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Kim Nilsson · MAS0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Joel Andersson · MAS1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME1*
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Kim Nilsson · MASM
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMEFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11–17 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | MAS | SME | MAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 13.0 | 16 | +3.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Artur Czaja | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Joel Andersson | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.