Masarna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 12, 2017 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Tai Woffinden3 3 3 2 2 FX13
- 2Linus Sundstroem2 0 0 02+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 1 1 29
- 4Artur Czaja0 00
- 5Antonio Lindbäck0 3 1 04+1
- 6Kim Nilsson2 1 1 0 3 29
- 7Joel Andersson0 1 01+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 2 03
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 2 3 1 110
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 3 1 1 28+4
- 5Matej Zagar3 3 2 3 3 317
- 6Linus Eklöf1 2 0 14+2
- 7Pontus Aspgren3 2 0 2 310+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · MAS3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Artur Czaja · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Artur Czaja · MAS0
- Tai Woffinden · MAS3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Tai Woffinden · MAS3
- Matej Zagar · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Kim Nilsson · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Joel Andersson · MAS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Joel Andersson · MAS0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS1
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Tai Woffinden · MAS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Antonio Lindbäck · MAS0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Tai Woffinden · MASFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| MAS | SME | MAS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 13.0 | 13 | +0.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Artur Czaja | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.