Eskilstuna Smederna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 16, 2017 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 04+1
- 2Mikkel Michelsen2 1 3 0 17
- 3Matej Zagar3 2 1 3 110
- 4Pontus Aspgren00
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 2 2 3 312
- 6Linus Eklöf1 0 1 0 1 36+2
- 7Andriy Karpov3 1 37
- 1Greg Hancock3 M 1 26
- 2Damian Baliński0 3 3 17
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 2 09+1
- 4Peter Kildemand0 2 3 05
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 1 211+1
- 6Daniel Henderson0 0 R F0
- 7Daniel Davidsson2 1 0 25
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Damian Baliński · PIR0
- Andriy Karpov · SME3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · PIR0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Andriy Karpov · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · PIR0
- Damian Baliński · PIR3
- Matej Zagar · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Greg Hancock · PIRM
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Andriy Karpov · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Damian Baliński · PIR3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Daniel Henderson · PIRR
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2
- Andriy Karpov · SMEN
- Daniel Henderson · PIRF
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Damian Baliński · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · PIR2
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–15 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 8 | +1 | −1 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | PIR | SME | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 3.6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Linus Eklöf | 6 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Andriy Karpov | 4 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.