Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 5, 2017 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren3 3 R 2 19+1
- 2Peter Ljung2 3 1 X6+1
- 3Patryk Dudek2 3 1 3 211+2
- 4Rune Holta3 1 2 06
- 5Maciej Janowski2 0 2 15+1
- 6Mads Korneliussen2 0 1 R 25
- 7Joel Kling0 0 11+1
- 1Leon Madsen00
- 2Mikkel Michelsen0 2 3 1 06
- 3Andzejs LebedevsR R 3 R3
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 2 2 29+1
- 5Matej Zagar3 3 3 3 315
- 6Linus Eklöf1 1 2 04+2
- 7Pontus Aspgren1 3 1 0 3 19+1
Heat by heat
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Leon Madsen · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2*
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DACR
- Mads Korneliussen · DACR
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1*
- Peter Ljung · DACX
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SMER
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–15 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 13 | −9 | +9 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -3 | 35 % |
| 13 | -3 | 33 % |
| 14 | -3 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.8 | 15 | +7.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Mads Korneliussen | 5 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.