Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 29, 2017 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna

Results

SME 46 : 44 DAC

SME

1Matej Zagar1 0 2 25+1
2Pontus Aspgren2 2 2 06+1
3Grzegorz Walasek1 2 03+1
4Mikkel Michelsen2 1 2 3 08+1
5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 1 1 28+2
6Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 0 3 113
7Linus Eklöf1 0 23+1

DAC

1Fredrik Lindgren3 3 3 3 2 317+1
2Peter Ljung0 0 1 01
3Patryk Dudek3 3 2 3 3 115
4Rune Holta0 11
5Maciej Janowski1 1 1 3 06
6Joel Kling0 0 00
7Mads Korneliussen2 0 1 14

Heat by heat

Heat 158.30 s3:3

Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
Pontus Aspgren · SME2
Matej Zagar · SME1*
Peter Ljung · DAC0

Heat 259.20 s4:2

Heat 358.70 s3:3

Patryk Dudek · DAC3
Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
Grzegorz Walasek · SME1*
Rune Holta · DAC0

Heat 458.80 s5:1

Heat 558.20 s5:1

Heat 658.50 s3:3

Heat 758.50 s2:4

Patryk Dudek · DAC3
Pontus Aspgren · SME2
Maciej Janowski · DAC1
Matej Zagar · SME0

Heat 858.90 s2:4

Heat 958.90 s2:4

Heat 1059.20 s2:4

Heat 1159.60 s5:1

Heat 1259.90 s4:2

Heat 1358.70 s1:5

Heat 1459.30 s3:3

Patryk Dudek · DAC3
Matej Zagar · SME2
Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1*
Maciej Janowski · DAC0

Heat 1559.30 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 19–23 °C; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Wind: 23 km/h SW; gusts up to 51 km/h; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 58 %; Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	SME	DAC	SME	DAC

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead SME

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+10	97 %
7	+8	95 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+2	70 %
11	+6	92 %
12	+8	98 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Fredrik Lindgren	6	12.6	17	+4.4
Patryk Dudek	6	11.2	15	+3.8
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	10.3	13	+2.7
Pontus Aspgren	4	3.9	6	+2.1
Mikkel Michelsen	5	6.1	8	+1.9
Andzejs Lebedevs	5	7.0	8	+1.0
Linus Eklöf	3	2.4	3	+0.6
Grzegorz Walasek	3	3.0	3	-0.0
Mads Korneliussen	4	5.4	4	-1.4
Matej Zagar	4	6.7	5	-1.7
Joel Kling	3	2.2	0	-2.2
Rune Holta	2	4.3	1	-3.3
Peter Ljung	4	4.9	1	-3.9
Maciej Janowski	5	9.9	6	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.9058.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.0:28.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.50 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source