Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 22, 2017 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 2 3 3 313+1
- 2Peter Ljung1 3 3 07+1
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 2 39+3
- 4Rune Holta3 3 3 2 213+1
- 5Maciej Janowski3 2 1 28+2
- 6Mads Korneliussen2 1 0 36
- 7Joel Kling0 2 0 13+1
- 1Daniel Davidsson3 0 1 3 18+1
- 3Frederik Jakobsen1 1 3 1 0 1 07+1
- 4Peter Karlsson0 R 1 23
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow0 1 1 2 0 15
- 6Krzysztof Buczkowski3 FX 0 25
- 7Damian Baliński1 2 0 03
Heat by heat
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1*
- Peter Karlsson · PIR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · PIR3
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC2
- Damian Baliński · PIR1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR1
- Peter Karlsson · PIRR
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Damian Baliński · PIR2
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Joel Kling · DAC2*
- Peter Karlsson · PIR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · PIRFX
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · PIR0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR1
- Damian Baliński · PIR0
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR1
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR1*
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · PIR2
- Joel Kling · DAC1
- Damian Baliński · PIR0
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Peter Karlsson · PIR2
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR1*
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Rune Holta · DAC2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · PIR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–20 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 8.1 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 5 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Mads Korneliussen | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Joel Kling | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 11.4 | 5 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.