Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 15, 2017 · Fornås Arena, Motala

Results

PIR 45 : 45 SME

PIR

1Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 3 1 011+1
2Peter Karlsson0 2 R 02
3Krzysztof Buczkowski0 00
4Peter Kildemand2 3 2 3 111+1
5Niels Kristian IversenFX 3 2 27+1
6Daniel Davidsson1 2 1 3 310+1
7Damian Baliński2 1 FX 14+1

SME

1Grzegorz Walasek2 1 0 03+1
2Mikkel Michelsen1 3 2 2 1 211+2
4Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 3 0 18+1
5Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 0 2 3 313+1
6Linus Eklöf0 0 00
7Pontus Aspgren3 1 1 1 2 210+1

Heat by heat

Heat 157.10 s3:3

Heat 257.00 s3:3

Heat 356.80 s2:4

Heat 456.90 s2:4

Heat 557.00 s3:3

Heat 656.80 s3:3

Heat 757.10 s1:5

Heat 856.90 s5:1

Heat 956.90 s4:2

Heat 1057.60 s3:3

Heat 1157.50 s4:2

Heat 1257.60 s5:1

Heat 1358.00 s3:3

Heat 1457.80 s3:3

Heat 1556.60 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 16–22 °C; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Wind: 12 km/h S; gusts up to 29 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Humidity: 49 %; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	PIR	SME	PIR	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead PIR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-8	13 %
8	-4	35 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-2	36 %
11	0	48 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Peter Kildemand	5	7.2	11	+3.8
Andzejs Lebedevs	6	9.3	13	+3.7
Daniel Davidsson	5	6.6	10	+3.4
Mikkel Michelsen	6	8.5	11	+2.5
Pontus Aspgren	6	8.5	10	+1.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	7.9	8	+0.1
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	7.4	7	-0.4
Damian Baliński	4	4.9	4	-0.9
Emil Sajfutdinow	6	13.2	11	-2.2
Grzegorz Walasek	4	5.2	3	-2.2
Linus Eklöf	3	2.7	0	-2.7
Peter Karlsson	4	5.0	2	-3.0
Krzysztof Buczkowski	2	3.5	0	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.0056.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.3:28.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −0.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source