Eskilstuna Smederna vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 11, 2017 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 11+1
- 2Pontus Aspgren2 1 1 04
- 3Grzegorz Walasek1 2 1 15+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen3 3 0 2 08+1
- 5Matej Zagar3 2 3 3 314+1
- 6Linus Eklöf1 1 02
- 7Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 2 1 113
- 1Piotr Protasiewicz3 0 R 36
- 2Mateusz Szczepaniak1 1 1 03
- 3Vaclav Milik2 2 1 2 18+2
- 4Bjarne Pedersen0 2 24+1
- 5Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 3 0 212+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren0 0 33
- 7Victor Palovaara2 0 3 0 27+1
Heat by heat
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · IND1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · IND2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME1
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Victor Palovaara · IND0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND0
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Victor Palovaara · IND3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME3
- Matej Zagar · SME2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDR
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1*
- Victor Palovaara · IND0
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND3
- Victor Palovaara · IND2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Vaclav Milik · IND2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND2
- Vaclav Milik · IND1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16–23 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SME | IND | SME | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.