Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Monday, June 26, 2017 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 06
- 2Pontus Aspgren2 2 0 26+2
- 3Matej Zagar3 2 1 3 09+1
- 4Paweł PrzedpełskiF 3 0 14
- 6Mikkel Michelsen3 2 0 2 3 010
- 7Linus Eklöf1 1 02+1
- 1Peter Ljung1 1 0 3 16+1
- 2Rune HoltaF 1 1 0 02
- 3Patryk Dudek2 3 1 2 3 3 216+3
- 5Maciej Janowski3 2 3 3 2 316+1
- 6Joel Kling0 0 11+1
- 7Mads Korneliussen2 0 1 25
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Rune Holta · DACF
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · SMEF
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Joel Kling · DAC0
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Matej Zagar · SME2*
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Mads Korneliussen · DAC2
- Joel Kling · DAC1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME1
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Matej Zagar · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 60 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | −5 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 3 | 13 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 7 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 0 | 10 | −10 | +10 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +5 | 90 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +9 | 97 % |
| 7 | +9 | 97 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -3 | 35 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 12.4 | 16 | +3.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 7 | 12.9 | 16 | +3.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Mads Korneliussen | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.2 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 7.6 | 0 | -7.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.