Rospiggarna Sk vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 9, 2017 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Max Fricke1 2 2 16+1
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 3 1 212+1
- 3Andreas Jonsson3 2 3 2 R10+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell1 3 2 28+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 2 1 38+1
- 6Nicklas Porsing3 1 0 1 27+2
- 7Robert Miśkowiak0 0 11+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 3 3 0 110
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 0 00
- 3Matej Zagar2 0 1 3 2 311
- 4Grigorij Laguta0 1 12+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen0 1 01
- 6Linus Eklöf2 2 0 04
- 7Andriy Karpov1 3 0 3 310+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Max Fricke · ROS1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Nicklas Porsing · ROS3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Andriy Karpov · SME1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · ROS0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Matej Zagar · SME2
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS1
- Grigorij Laguta · SME0
- Andriy Karpov · SME3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2
- Nicklas Porsing · ROS1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · ROS0
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Max Fricke · ROS2*
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1
- Matej Zagar · SME0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Andriy Karpov · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Nicklas Porsing · ROS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Max Fricke · ROS2
- Nicklas Porsing · ROS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Andriy Karpov · SME3
- Nicklas Porsing · ROS2
- Robert Miśkowiak · ROS1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS2
- Jason Doyle · ROS1*
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Andriy Karpov · SME3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Matej Zagar · SME2
- Max Fricke · ROS1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Timo Lahti · ROS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Andreas Jonsson · ROSR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 1–2 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 30 km/h N
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ROS | SME | ROS | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Nicklas Porsing | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.