Kumla Indianerna vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 13, 2017 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 1 1 314
- 2Bjarne Pedersen2 0 0 1 03+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 3 R 18+1
- 5Vaclav Milik0 0 3 1 3 07
- 6Victor Palovaara3 1 1 27
- 7Ludvig Lindgren0 2 0 13+1
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 37
- 2Paweł Przedpełski0 3 03
- 3Matej Zagar1 1 3 2 18+2
- 4Pontus Aspgren0 3 2 2 29+1
- 6Mikkel Michelsen2 1 2 3 3 213+1
- 7Linus Eklöf1 2 03+1
Heat by heat
- Adrian Miedziński · IND3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME0
- Victor Palovaara · IND3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · IND3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2*
- Matej Zagar · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · SME0
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Victor Palovaara · IND1
- Vaclav Milik · IND0
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Pontus Aspgren · SME3
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME1
- Vaclav Milik · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Matej Zagar · SME1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND1
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME2
- Victor Palovaara · IND1
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Adrian Miedziński · IND1
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND0
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · IND2
- Ludvig Lindgren · IND1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Matej Zagar · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Vaclav Milik · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDR
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SME3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND0
- Vaclav Milik · IND3
- Matej Zagar · SME2
- Adrian Miedziński · IND1
- Grigorij Laguta · SMEN
- Adrian Miedziński · IND3
- Pontus Aspgren · SME2
- Matej Zagar · SME1*
- Vaclav Milik · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–19 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h N
- gusts up to 49 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 2.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 7 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 7 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IND | SME | IND | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +3 | 82 % |
| 7 | +3 | 82 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +5 | 92 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | -3 | 33 % |
| 14 | -1 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 10.4 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 5 | 7.0 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 12.2 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 6.7 | 0 | -6.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.