Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 10, 2016 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen JensenR 0 00
- 2Maciej Janowski3 2 2 R 1 311
- 3Peter Ljung1 0 12+1
- 4Mikael Max2 3 0 16+1
- 5Patryk Dudek3 3 2 2 3 215+1
- 6Kacper Gomolski3 1 0 1 38
- 7Magnus KarlssonFX 1 12+1
- 1Peter Kildemand1 2 2 38+1
- 2Scott Nicholls2 1 1 04+2
- 3Greg Hancock3 3 3 2 112
- 4Jonas Davidsson0 3 1 15
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 3 2 X 07+1
- 6Joel Larsson1 0 01+1
- 7Fredrik Engman2 0 2 3 29+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Scott Nicholls · PIR2
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DACR
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Joel Larsson · PIR1*
- Magnus Karlsson · DACFX
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC1*
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1*
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Scott Nicholls · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · DACR
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIRX
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–25 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.1 | 15 | +4.9 |
| Fredrik Engman | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.