Rospiggarna Sk vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 28, 2016 · Team Kentas Park, Hallstavik
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 3 19+1
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 F X6
- 3Andreas Jonsson3 2 2 3 313+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell1 3 0 26+1
- 5Martin Vaculik1 2 3 3 211+2
- 6Max Fricke3 3 1 3 313
- 7John LindmanFX 0 11
- 1Maciej Janowski1 1 1 25
- 2Mikael Max0 00
- 3Patryk Dudek0 2 3 1 2 F8
- 4Kacper Gomolski2 2 1 R 1 17+2
- 5Peter Ljung0 1 2 03
- 6Rune Holta2 FX 1 2 05+1
- 7Magnus Karlsson1 2 03+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Jason Doyle · ROS2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC1*
- John Lindman · ROSFX
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC2
- Martin Vaculik · ROS1
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Timo Lahti · ROS3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Max Fricke · ROS1
- Rune Holta · DACFX
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1*
- Timo Lahti · ROSF
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS0
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Martin Vaculik · ROS2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Kacper Gomolski · DACR
- Jason Doyle · ROS3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Rune Holta · DAC1*
- John Lindman · ROS0
- Max Fricke · ROS3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- John Lindman · ROS1
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC0
- Martin Vaculik · ROS3
- Jacob Thorssell · ROS2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1*
- Timo Lahti · ROSX
- Martin Vaculik · ROS3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · ROS1
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS3
- Martin Vaculik · ROS2*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · DACF
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Rain → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 30 km/h SW
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ROS | DAC | ROS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ROS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 6 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| John Lindman | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Mikael Max | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.