Lejonen vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 10, 2016 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 3 R 39
- 2Peter Karlsson0 1 2 36+1
- 3Chris Holder3 1 3 2 312+1
- 4Anders Thomsen1 3 2 39+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 2 111+2
- 6Pontus Aspgren3 2 1 39+1
- 7Mathias Thörnblom2 3 2 29+2
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 0 0 1 13+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 1 0 0 05
- 4Linus Eklöf0 2 0 2 04
- 5Magnus Zetterström0 2 1 3 1 29
- 6Alexander Edberg0 0 1 12
- 7Daniel Henderson1 1 0 02
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ0
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Daniel Henderson · SME1
- Alexander Edberg · SME0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME2
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ2*
- Daniel Henderson · SME1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ1
- Alexander Edberg · SME0
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2
- Chris Holder · LEJ1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ2*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · SME0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Alexander Edberg · SME1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJR
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2*
- Alexander Edberg · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · SME0
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LEJ | SME | LEJ | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +34 | 100 % |
| 14 | +38 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 4.4 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 6 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Linus Eklöf | 5 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Alexander Edberg | 4 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Daniel Henderson | 4 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.6 | 3 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.