Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 23, 2016 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 3 3 214
- 2Kacper Gomolski1 1 1 14
- 3Maciej Janowski1 3 2 3 09+1
- 4Rune Holta2 2 1 16+3
- 5Peter Ljung2 2 2 06+1
- 6Mikael Max2 3 1 1 310+2
- 7Alex Johansson3 0 03
- 1Peter Kildemand2 1 3 0 2 311
- 2Victor Palovaara0 00
- 3Greg Hancock3 2 3 3 2 114
- 4Jonas Davidsson0 3 0 03
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 0 01
- 6Fredrik Engman0 2 2 2 0 17+2
- 7Robert Miśkowiak1 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Alex Johansson · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Robert Miśkowiak · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Robert Miśkowiak · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Alex Johansson · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Rune Holta · DAC2*
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Rune Holta · DAC1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Robert Miśkowiak · PIR1*
- Alex Johansson · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Rune Holta · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11–24 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Mikael Max | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Fredrik Engman | 6 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.8 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Alex Johansson | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Victor Palovaara | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 5.3 | 1 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.