Lejonen vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 16, 2016 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Chris HolderX 2 2 37
- 2Hans Andersen3 1 1 27+1
- 3Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 X 311
- 4Peter Karlsson1 1 2 26+2
- 5Pontus Aspgren1 3 1 2 18+2
- 6Anders Thomsen0 3 1 15+1
- 7Mathias Thörnblom3 3 0 28
- 1Peter Kildemand2 2 0 3 R7
- 2Victor Palovaara1 0 2 03+1
- 3Greg Hancock3 3 3 R9
- 4Jonas Davidsson0 0 0 11
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 1 3 R 28
- 6Fredrik Engman1 2 1 37+1
- 7Anton Rosén2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1*
- Chris Holder · LEJX
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Hans Andersen · LEJ1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Hans Andersen · LEJ1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Anders Thomsen · LEJ1*
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Hans Andersen · LEJ2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJX
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ2*
- Greg Hancock · PIRR
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIRR
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Peter Kildemand · PIRR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 2 | +7 | −7 | |
| LEJ | PIR | LEJ | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +13 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Anton Rosén | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 10.0 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.