Masarna vs Rospiggarna Sk

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 2, 2016 · Avesta, Avesta

Results

MAS 37 : 53 ROS

MAS

1Przemysław PawlickiFX 1 3 15+1
2Kim Nilsson3 2 2 3 2 012
3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 2 2 1 R 19+1
5Adrian Miedziński1 1 0 02
6Linus Sundstroem2 0 0 FX 24
7Ludvig Lindgren1 0 1 1 25+3

ROS

1Jason Doyle2 1 3 3 312
2Jacob Thorssell1 3 2 17+2
3Andreas Jonsson1 3 3 2 211+3
4Timo Lahti2 3 0 16
5Martin Vaculik3 0 03
6John Lindman0 0 00
7Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 1 2 3 314+1

Heat by heat

Heat 157.90 s3:3

Heat 258.80 s3:3

Heat 359.00 s3:3

Heat 458.90 s1:5

Heat 559.10 s3:3

Timo Lahti · ROS3
Kim Nilsson · MAS2
Ludvig Lindgren · MAS1*
John Lindman · ROS0

Heat 659.20 s2:4

Heat 759.50 s3:3

Heat 859.60 s5:1

Heat 91:5

Heat 1059.80 s4:2

Heat 1159.80 s3:3

Heat 1259.80 s2:4

Heat 1359.50 s2:4

Jason Doyle · ROS3
Kim Nilsson · MAS2
Timo Lahti · ROS1
Krzysztof Kasprzak · MASR

Heat 1460.00 s1:5

Heat 1560.00 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 13–21 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 12 km/h SW; gusts up to 38 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0.7 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.7 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 62 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	2	10	−8	+8
	MAS	ROS	MAS	ROS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead MAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-4	18 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-12	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kim Nilsson	6	6.5	12	+5.5
Krzysztof Buczkowski	6	11.0	14	+3.0
Andreas Jonsson	5	8.8	11	+2.2
Jacob Thorssell	4	5.0	7	+2.0
Ludvig Lindgren	5	3.5	5	+1.5
Jason Doyle	5	11.4	12	+0.6
Timo Lahti	4	6.1	6	-0.1
Przemysław Pawlicki	4	6.1	5	-1.1
Martin Vaculik	3	4.8	3	-1.8
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	11.3	9	-2.3
Linus Sundstroem	5	6.7	4	-2.7
John Lindman	3	3.0	0	-3.0
Adrian Miedziński	4	5.9	2	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.0057.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 39.3:24.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source