Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 2, 2016 · Fornås Arena, Motala

Results

PIR 56 : 34 SME

PIR

1Greg Hancock3 1 3 07
2Jonas Davidsson2 3 3 19+1
3Peter Kildemand3 3 1 3 313+1
4Victor Palovaara0 1 2 03
5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 3 R12
6Anton Rosén3 1 1 16
7Damian Baliński1 2 0 36+1

SME

1Paweł Przedpełski0 2 FX 2 04
2Linus Eklöf1 0 23
3Mikkel Michelsen2 2 2 1 2 211+1
4Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 R 24+1
5Magnus Zetterström0 3 1 1 16+3
6Alexander Edberg0 0 00
7Daniel Davidsson2 2 R 26

Heat by heat

Heat 157.30 s5:1

Heat 257.50 s4:2

Heat 357.20 s3:3

Heat 457.00 s4:2

Heat 558.30 s5:1

Heat 657.60 s4:2

Heat 758.30 s4:2

Heat 858.10 s3:3

Heat 958.70 s4:2

Heat 1058.90 s3:3

Heat 1158.30 s4:2

Heat 1258.50 s3:3

Heat 1358.40 s4:2

Heat 1458.50 s3:3

Heat 1558.80 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 13–20 °C; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Wind: 21 km/h SW; gusts up to 46 km/h; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 58 %; Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	13	5	+8	−8
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	PIR	SME	PIR	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead PIR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+12	97 %
6	+14	99 %
7	+16	100 %
8	+16	100 %
9	+18	100 %
10	+18	100 %
11	+20	100 %
12	+20	100 %
13	+22	100 %
14	+22	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mikkel Michelsen	6	6.6	11	+4.4
Jonas Davidsson	4	5.4	9	+3.6
Peter Kildemand	5	10.0	13	+3.0
Anton Rosén	4	4.5	6	+1.5
Daniel Davidsson	4	5.0	6	+1.0
Linus Eklöf	3	2.2	3	+0.8
Piotr Pawlicki	5	11.9	12	+0.1
Magnus Zetterström	5	6.2	6	-0.2
Damian Baliński	4	6.5	6	-0.5
Victor Palovaara	4	3.8	3	-0.8
Andzejs Lebedevs	4	6.4	4	-2.4
Alexander Edberg	3	2.4	0	-2.4
Greg Hancock	4	9.7	7	-2.7
Paweł Przedpełski	5	9.5	4	-5.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.9057.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 24.7:36.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −4.47 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source