Dackarna Målilla vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 28, 2016 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 2 3 211+2
- 2Mikael Max2 1 03+1
- 3Maciej Janowski1 3 3 0 310
- 4Kacper Gomolski0 1 2 03+1
- 5Rune Holta2 1 1 15+1
- 6Peter Ljung3 3 0 3 3 214
- 7Magnus Karlsson1 0 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen1 2 2 38+1
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 0 3 25+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 2 R11
- 4Chris Holder2 2 2 1 18+3
- 5Hans Andersen1 0 1 02
- 6Mathias Thörnblom2 3 1 0 28
- 7Anders Mellgren0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC1
- Anders Mellgren · LEJ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Rune Holta · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · LEJ1
- Anders Mellgren · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Hans Andersen · LEJ0
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2*
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Peter Ljung · DAC0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Peter Ljung · DAC3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Anders Mellgren · LEJ1*
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ2*
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Chris Holder · LEJ1
- Maciej Janowski · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ2
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Hans Andersen · LEJ0
- Maciej Janowski · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Chris Holder · LEJ1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–21 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| DAC | LEJ | DAC | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 5 | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Mikael Max | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 6.6 | 2 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.