Lejonen vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 14, 2016 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Kenneth Bjerre0 3 1 1 05
- 2Pontus Aspgren3 1 0 04
- 3Chris Holder2 3 2 3 0 313+1
- 4Peter KarlssonFX0
- 5Rafał Okoniewski0 3 03
- 6Hans Andersen1 3 3 3 0 313
- 7Mathias Thörnblom0 0 0 TT 22
- 1Maciej Janowski2 1 1 2 28+2
- 2Kacper Gomolski1 2 2 16+1
- 3Patryk Dudek3 1 3 2 110+3
- 4Peter Ljung1 2 2 16+1
- 5Rune Holta1 0 3 37+1
- 6Magnus Karlsson2 0 24+1
- 7Mikael Max3 2 1 2 19+2
Heat by heat
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1
- Peter Karlsson · LEJFX
- Hans Andersen · LEJ3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Rune Holta · DAC1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Hans Andersen · LEJ3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Peter Ljung · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Hans Andersen · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ3
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · DAC1*
- Hans Andersen · LEJ0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ1
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Hans Andersen · LEJ3
- Magnus Karlsson · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJTT
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Kacper Gomolski · DAC1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ1
- Chris Holder · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Maciej Janowski · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h E
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 1.6 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LEJ | DAC | LEJ | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Mikael Max | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Peter Karlsson | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 5 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.