Masarna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 14, 2016 · Avesta, Avesta
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 2 2 08+1
- 2Kim Nilsson3 2 1 06+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 0 R1+1
- 4Leon Madsen2 1 3 06
- 5Joonas Kylmakorpi2 3 1 0 17+1
- 6Linus Sundstroem3 3 0 3 211
- 7Ludvig Lindgren2 1 0 25+3
- 1Peter Kildemand0 3 2 1 17
- 2Scott Nicholls1 2 1 26+3
- 3Greg Hancock3 3 2 3 1 315
- 4Fredrik Engman0 3 03
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 1 3 3 3 213+2
- 6Joel Larsson0 0 00
- 7Victor Palovaara1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · MAS3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2*
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Ludvig Lindgren · MAS2*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Leon Madsen · MAS2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · MAS1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · MAS2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · MAS2
- Ludvig Lindgren · MAS1*
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Scott Nicholls · PIR2*
- Leon Madsen · MAS1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · MAS0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Kim Nilsson · MAS1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Leon Madsen · MAS3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · MASR
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · MAS3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1*
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Ludvig Lindgren · MAS0
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS3
- Ludvig Lindgren · MAS2*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Scott Nicholls · PIR2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · MAS1
- Leon Madsen · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · MAS2
- Peter Kildemand · PIR1
- Kim Nilsson · MAS0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · MAS0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · MAS1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · MAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| MAS | PIR | MAS | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead MAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Victor Palovaara | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 3 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.