Piraterna Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 3, 2016 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock2 3 1 3 312+1
- 2Jonas Davidsson3 3 0 17+1
- 3Peter Kildemand3 0 2 27
- 4Scott Nicholls1 3 1 38+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 2 1 211+2
- 6Joel Larsson2 R 0 13+1
- 7Victor Palovaara3 1 0 37
- 1Nicki Pedersen1 1 2 2 3 110+2
- 2Peter Karlsson0 2 1 03+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 1 3 1 07+1
- 4Hans Andersen0 2 2 04
- 5Chris Holder1 0 3 2 06+1
- 6Joel Kling0 0 00
- 7Mathias Thörnblom1 2 25
Heat by heat
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ1
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ0
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Joel Larsson · PIR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Joel Kling · LEJ0
- Peter Kildemand · PIR3
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ2
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1
- Hans Andersen · LEJ0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Chris Holder · LEJ1*
- Joel Larsson · PIRR
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Hans Andersen · LEJ2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Joel Kling · LEJ0
- Scott Nicholls · PIR3
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ2
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ1*
- Peter Kildemand · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Hans Andersen · LEJ2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Scott Nicholls · PIR1*
- Chris Holder · LEJ0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ1*
- Joel Larsson · PIR0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ2*
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Joel Larsson · PIR1
- Joel Kling · LEJ0
- Scott Nicholls · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ1
- Peter Karlsson · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ3
- Peter Kildemand · PIR2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1*
- Hans Andersen · LEJ0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · LEJ1
- Chris Holder · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10–19 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| PIR | LEJ | PIR | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 3.2 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 4.0 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Joel Larsson | 4 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.4 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Joel Kling | 3 | 5.2 | 0 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.