Kumla Indianerna vs Piraterna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 19, 2015 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla

Results

IND 48 : 42 PIR

IND

1Antonio Lindbäck3 1 3 3 111+1
2Scott Nicholls2 1 0 2 05+1
3Piotr Protasiewicz3 3 1 2 312+1
5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 3 2 210+1
6Joel AnderssonR 0 0 00
7Rory Schlein3 1 2 0 2 210+2

PIR

1Piotr Pawlicki1 1 2 3 29
2Bjarne Pedersen0 0 1 34+1
3Greg Hancock2 3 1 06
4Jonas Davidsson0 3 0 14
5Chris Holder2 3 1 1 07+1
6Victor Palovaara1 2 0 14+2
7Fredrik Engman2 3 0 38

Heat by heat

Heat 163.90 s5:1

Heat 23:3

Heat 364.20 s4:2

Heat 464.90 s1:5

Heat 565.30 s1:5

Heat 665.50 s5:1

Heat 765.50 s3:3

Heat 865.10 s3:3

Heat 965.40 s3:3

Heat 1066.60 s5:1

Heat 1166.50 s2:4

Heat 1266.10 s2:4

Heat 1366.20 s2:4

Heat 1466.10 s5:1

Heat 1566.50 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Rain → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 7–11 °C; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Wind: 14 km/h SE; gusts up to 50 km/h; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Rain during the day: 5.4 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 3.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 94 %; Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	9	3	+6	−6
	IND	PIR	IND	PIR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead IND

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+2	73 %
5	-2	47 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+2	73 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+4	88 %
12	+2	73 %
13	0	56 %
14	+4	94 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Fredrik Engman	4	4.2	8	+3.8
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	8.5	12	+3.5
Antonio Lindbäck	5	8.1	11	+2.9
Victor Palovaara	4	2.6	4	+1.4
Rory Schlein	6	9.4	10	+0.6
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	9.6	10	+0.4
Piotr Pawlicki	5	9.6	9	-0.6
Scott Nicholls	5	6.2	5	-1.2
Chris Holder	5	8.5	7	-1.5
Jonas Davidsson	4	5.5	4	-1.5
Bjarne Pedersen	4	5.6	4	-1.6
Greg Hancock	4	8.5	6	-2.5
Joel Andersson	4	3.7	0	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.6063.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 28.3:34.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.73 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source