Lejonen vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 19, 2015 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Rafał Okoniewski2 1 3 1 18+2
- 2Kacper Gomolski3 0 03
- 3Peter Kildemand2 3 3 2 212
- 4Oliver Berntzon1 1 0 02+1
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 2 06+1
- 6Linus Sundstroem3 1 2 3 09
- 7Pontus Aspgren0 2 1 14
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 0 01
- 2Jason Doyle0 2 3 16
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 3 315
- 4Joonas Kylmakorpi0 1 2 3 06+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 26+1
- 6Mikael Max1 3 1 2 2 110+2
- 7Robin Aspegren2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Jason Doyle · DAC0
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ0
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ1
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ0
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ2
- Jason Doyle · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 7–13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SW
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LEJ | DAC | LEJ | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Mikael Max | 6 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Robin Aspegren | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.