Vetlanda Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 8, 2015 · Vetlanda, Vetlanda
Results
- 1Tai Woffinden2 0 1 14+2
- 2Peter Ljung3 3 1 3 212
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 39
- 4Tomas H Jonasson0 1 1 02
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 2 2 08+2
- 6Rune Holta3 3 3 312
- 7Kenny Wennerstam0 0 0 1 01
- 1Robin Aspegren1 0 0 23
- 2Mikael Max0 2 1 14
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 314
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 2 1 17+3
- 5Nicki Pedersen1 2 3 06
- 6Rasmus Jensen2 1 2 27+2
- 7Joel Larsson1 0 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · VET3
- Tai Woffinden · VET2*
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Rune Holta · VET3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Joel Larsson · DAC1*
- Kenny Wennerstam · VET0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · VET3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · VET0
- Rune Holta · VET3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · VET2*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Peter Ljung · VET3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Kenny Wennerstam · VET0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · VET3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Tomas H Jonasson · VET1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2*
- Peter Ljung · VET1
- Tai Woffinden · VET0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · VET3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Tomas H Jonasson · VET1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Rune Holta · VET3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · VET2*
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Tai Woffinden · VET1
- Kenny Wennerstam · VET0
- Rune Holta · VET3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Kenny Wennerstam · VET1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · VET2
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Tomas H Jonasson · VET0
- Peter Ljung · VET3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1*
- Kenny Wennerstam · VET0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · VET2
- Tai Woffinden · VET1*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VET2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · VET0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 7–14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 13 km/h N
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VET | DAC | VET | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VET
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.3 | 14 | +7.7 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 3 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Robin Aspegren | 4 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Joel Larsson | 4 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Kenny Wennerstam | 5 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.9 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.