Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 25, 2015 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Fredrik Engman2 0 3 2 18
- 2Greg HancockR 3 2 1 06
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 0 36
- 4Victor Palovaara0 1 2 03
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 17+1
- 6Daniel Davidsson3 3 2 210+2
- 7Jonas Davidsson2 1 R 0 36+1
- 1Kenni Larsen33
- 2Linus Eklöf1 3 1 16+1
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 2 3 311
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 2 3 2 210+2
- 5Magnus Zetterström2 3 2 07
- 6Rasmus Broberg0 1 1 0 02+2
- 7Daniel Henderson1 0 2 1 0 15+1
Heat by heat
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Greg Hancock · PIRR
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2*
- Daniel Henderson · SME1
- Rasmus Broberg · SME0
- Adrian Miedziński · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Daniel Henderson · SME0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Rasmus Broberg · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIRR
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Daniel Henderson · SME2*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2
- Daniel Henderson · SME1
- Adrian Miedziński · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2*
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Daniel Henderson · SME0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2
- Rasmus Broberg · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2*
- Daniel Henderson · SME1
- Rasmus Broberg · SME0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Adrian Miedziński · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Rasmus Broberg · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–24 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h E
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 10.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | SME | PIR | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Engman | 5 | 3.0 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 4 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Kenni Larsen | 1 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Daniel Henderson | 6 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Rasmus Broberg | 5 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 12.5 | 6 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.