Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 18, 2015 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 2 16
- 2Hans Andersen3 0 14+1
- 3Jason Doyle2 3 1 2 08+1
- 4Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 2 04+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 R 210
- 6Robin Aspegren1 1 0 F2
- 7Mikael Max3 3 0 3 110+1
- 1Chris Holder2 2 0 2 39
- 2Victor Palovaara0 0 11+1
- 3Darcy Ward3 3 1 1 2 111+1
- 4Jonas Davidsson0 1 0 01+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 3 3 317
- 6Daniel Davidsson0 2 24
- 7Fredrik Engman2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1*
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Hans Andersen · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · DAC1*
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1*
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · PIR1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Robin Aspegren · DACF
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · PIR1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Nicki Pedersen · DACR
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · PIR1
- Jason Doyle · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 9–21 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h E
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 12.3 | 17 | +4.7 |
| Mikael Max | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Hans Andersen | 3 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Darcy Ward | 6 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Victor Palovaara | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Robin Aspegren | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.