Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 11, 2015 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 3 314
- 2Magnus Zetterström0 3 1 04
- 3Kenni Larsen3 3 3 3 214+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen2 1 0 14+2
- 5Grigorij Laguta2 2 2 28+1
- 6Linus Eklöf3 R R 14
- 7Peter Karlsson1 2 1 04+2
- 1Hans Andersen2 0 2 04
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 3 1 19+2
- 3Nicki Pedersen1 2 3 R 1 R7
- 4Mikael Max0 11
- 5Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 02+1
- 6Robin Aspegren2 0 24+1
- 7Jason DoyleX 3 X 2 3 311
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Linus Eklöf · SME3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Jason Doyle · DACX
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Linus Eklöf · SMER
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2*
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Jason Doyle · DACX
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Linus Eklöf · SMER
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2*
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Peter Karlsson · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Nicki Pedersen · DACR
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Nicki Pedersen · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–20 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 1.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.4 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Kenni Larsen | 5 | 8.0 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Robin Aspegren | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Mikael Max | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.0 | 7 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.