Piraterna Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 11, 2015 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Darcy Ward2 2 3 2 211+3
- 2Greg Hancock3 2 3 210+1
- 3Chris Holder3 3 3 3 R12
- 4Daniel Davidsson0 0 2 35+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 2 311+1
- 6Victor Palovaara3 2 1 39+1
- 7Fredrik Engman2 0 1 14+1
- 1Linus Sundstroem1 2 1 0 1 16+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak0 2 2 0 1 38
- 4Pontus Aspgren1 3 1 X 1 06+1
- 5Rafał Okoniewski0 0 00
- 6Oliver Berntzon0 1 0 2 03
- 7Mathias Thörnblom1 1 1 25
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ0
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJX
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Chris Holder · PIRR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–20 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 2.3 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| PIR | LEJ | PIR | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +36 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 4.1 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.