Lejonen vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 4, 2015 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand2 1 1 04
- 2Pontus Aspgren1 1 0 02+1
- 3Linus Sundstroem1 1 1 2 16+1
- 4Kacper GomolskiM 0 2 13
- 5Rafał Okoniewski2 3 3 1 312
- 6Mathias Thörnblom2 1 0 36+1
- 7Oliver Berntzon1 0 0 12+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 1 3 212+1
- 2Peter Karlsson0 2 2 04+1
- 3Kenni Larsen3 2 2 3 010+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 18+2
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 211+1
- 6Magnus Zetterström3 3 0 2 210+1
- 7Linus Eklöf0 R 00
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1*
- Peter Karlsson · SME0
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJM
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ2
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ1*
- Linus Eklöf · SMER
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2*
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME1*
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2*
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Mathias Thörnblom · LEJ3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ1
- Peter Karlsson · SME0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME3
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ1
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · SME2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Kenni Larsen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19–26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h SE
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 3 | 15 | −12 | +12 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LEJ | SME | LEJ | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -16 | 4 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -16 | 1 % |
| 10 | -20 | 2 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -22 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kenni Larsen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Linus Eklöf | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.