Dackarna Målilla vs Rospiggarna Sk
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 12, 2015 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 35+1
- 2Joonas Kylmakorpi3 3 06
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 38
- 4Jason DoyleR R 22+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 35
- 6Mikael Max3 1 26+2
- 7Robin Aspegren0 00
- 1Andreas Jonsson1 2 14
- 2Kim NilssonR 1 01+1
- 3Grzegorz Walasek3 25
- 4Mads Korneliussen1 2 14+1
- 5Martin Vaculik3 14
- 6Andzejs Lebedevs2 13+1
- 7Timo Lahti1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROSR
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS2
- Timo Lahti · ROS1*
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ROS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Mads Korneliussen · ROS1
- Jason Doyle · DACR
- Martin Vaculik · ROS3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Mads Korneliussen · ROS2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · ROS1*
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS2
- Kim Nilsson · ROS1*
- Jason Doyle · DACR
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ROS2
- Mads Korneliussen · ROS1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2*
- Martin Vaculik · ROS1
- Timo Lahti · ROS0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Andreas Jonsson · ROS1
- Kim Nilsson · ROS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–19 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 51 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 10.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–9 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| DAC | ROS | DAC | ROS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Mikael Max | 3 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 3 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 2 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 2 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 2 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 2 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 2 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Mads Korneliussen | 3 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Robin Aspegren | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 3 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.