Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 28, 2015 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Darcy Ward1 0 3 3 3 212+2
- 2Greg Hancock2 3 2 3 3 2 318+1
- 3Chris Holder0 3 1 3 07
- 4Daniel Davidsson1 0 0 R1
- 6Victor Palovaara3 2 1 0 39
- 7Fredrik Engman0 1 23+1
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 3 2 1 0 1 111+2
- 2Mikkel B Jensen0 1 2 14+2
- 4Fredrik Lindgren2 2 1 2 18+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 2 2 010
- 6Joel Andersson1 0 12+1
- 7Scott Nicholls2 1 0 2 05
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Darcy Ward · PIR1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · IND0
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Scott Nicholls · IND2
- Joel Andersson · IND1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND2*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR1
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2
- Scott Nicholls · IND1
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND2
- Mikkel B Jensen · IND1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND1
- Darcy Ward · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Scott Nicholls · IND0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Mikkel B Jensen · IND2
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Scott Nicholls · IND2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Scott Nicholls · IND0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND2
- Mikkel B Jensen · IND1*
- Daniel Davidsson · PIRR
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1*
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–18 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.5 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIR | IND | PIR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 4.2 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Greg Hancock | 7 | 14.9 | 18 | +3.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Darcy Ward | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 7 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.