Lejonen vs Piraterna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 21, 2015 · OnePartnerGroup Arena, Gislaved

Results

LEJ 39 : 51 PIR

LEJ

1Tobiasz Musielak0 2 0 13
2Linus Sundstroem2 1 0 2 16+1
3Peter Kildemand2 3 1 0 R6+1
5Rafał Okoniewski1 1 2 04+2
6Kacper Gomolski3 1 2 2 2 313+1
7Oliver Berntzon1 2 1 2 0 17+1

PIR

1Chris Holder3 2 3 3 314
2Daniel Davidsson1 0 0 01
3Greg Hancock3 3 3 312
4Darcy Ward3 1 15
5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 2 213+2
6Victor Palovaara0 0 1 12+1
7Fredrik Engman2 0 0 24

Heat by heat

Heat 165.40 s2:4

Heat 266.00 s4:2

Heat 365.60 s

Heat 465.60 s3:3

Heat 565.80 s3:3

Heat 665.50 s4:2

Heat 765.50 s2:4

Heat 865.50 s3:3

Heat 966.20 s3:3

Heat 1066.30 s2:4

Heat 1166.80 s3:3

Heat 1265.90 s3:3

Heat 1366.30 s2:4

Heat 1466.20 s1:5

Heat 1566.00 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Rain → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14–18 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 17 km/h SW; gusts up to 54 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 3.7 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 1.1 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 90 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	2	10	−8	+8
	LEJ	PIR	LEJ	PIR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LEJ

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	0	64 %
4	0	62 %
5	0	64 %
6	+2	74 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	0	56 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-4	14 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Chris Holder	5	10.0	14	+4.0
Kacper Gomolski	6	9.3	13	+3.7
Greg Hancock	4	8.8	12	+3.2
Piotr Pawlicki	5	11.3	13	+1.7
Linus Sundstroem	5	5.5	6	+0.5
Fredrik Engman	4	3.7	4	+0.3
Oliver Berntzon	6	7.5	7	-0.5
Rafał Okoniewski	4	5.1	4	-1.1
Victor Palovaara	4	3.3	2	-1.3
Darcy Ward	3	6.7	5	-1.7
Tobiasz Musielak	4	5.0	3	-2.0
Daniel Davidsson	4	4.0	1	-3.0
Peter Kildemand	5	9.7	6	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.8065.40 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.7:24.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source