Dackarna Målilla vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 14, 2015 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 311+1
- 2Joonas Kylmakorpi3 3 2 3 314+1
- 3Hans Andersen2 3 2 2 110+3
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 08+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 1 18
- 6Joel Larsson1 0 0 01
- 7Mikael Max3 2 0 27+1
- 1Linus Sundstroem1 1 1 03+1
- 2Rafał Okoniewski0 0 2 2 R4+1
- 3Peter Kildemand1 1 3 2 29
- 4Pontus Aspgren0 1 0 12
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 1 02+1
- 6Oliver Berntzon0 1 0 2 36+1
- 7Kacper Gomolski2 2 0 15
Heat by heat
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ2
- Joel Larsson · DAC1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2*
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Hans Andersen · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC2*
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ1
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ1
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ2
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ1*
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ3
- Mikael Max · DAC2
- Kacper Gomolski · LEJ1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2*
- Pontus Aspgren · LEJ1
- Linus Sundstroem · LEJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LEJ0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · LEJ2
- Hans Andersen · DAC1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LEJR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–21 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 2.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | LEJ | DAC | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +26 | 100 % |
| 9 | +26 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 5 | 7.3 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Joel Larsson | 4 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.