Eskilstuna Smederna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 23, 2015 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Grigorij Laguta2 3 2 3 212+2
- 2Magnus Zetterström1 1 R2+1
- 3Paweł Przedpełski1 2 0 3 39+1
- 4Kenni Larsen2 1 3 39+1
- 5Mikkel Michelsen3 1 0 15
- 6Linus Eklöf2 2 0 15+2
- 7Peter Karlsson3 3 3 3 R12
- 1Greg Hancock3 3 1 2 2 011+2
- 2Jonas DavidssonR 00
- 3Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 1 2 112+1
- 4Bjarne Pedersen0 0 11+1
- 5Chris Holder1 2 1 2 06
- 6Victor Palovaara1 2 1 0 26+1
- 7Fredrik Engman0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIRR
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2*
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME2
- Kenni Larsen · SME1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SMER
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2*
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Victor Palovaara · PIR2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1*
- Peter Karlsson · SMER
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SME | PIR | SME | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenni Larsen | 4 | 4.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.0 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.