Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 16, 2015 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock2 1 3 3 110+2
- 2Jonas Davidsson3 1 2 06+1
- 3Chris Holder0 2 3 3 311+1
- 4Bjarne Pedersen2 3 1 17
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 110
- 6Victor Palovaara1 0 0 34
- 7Fredrik EngmanF 2 0 02
- 1Jason Doyle1 0 23
- 2Mikael Max0 1 1 02+1
- 3Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 2 X8
- 4Joonas Kylmakorpi3 R 03
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 2 0 27+1
- 6Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 1 2 112+2
- 7Rasmus Jensen2 2 0 15+2
Heat by heat
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Jason Doyle · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIRF
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR2
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DACR
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Mikael Max · DAC1
- Jason Doyle · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Victor Palovaara · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Victor Palovaara · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Nicki Pedersen · DACX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–17 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 12.4 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 3 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.