Dackarna Målilla vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 2, 2015 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 1 3 211+2
- 2Joonas Kylmakorpi3 0 R 03
- 3Jason Doyle3 2 2 1 311+1
- 4Mikael Max2 3 1 06+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 1 05+1
- 6Rasmus Jensen1 0 2 25+1
- 7Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 312
- 1Kenni Larsen1 0 01
- 2Magnus Zetterström0 11
- 3Grigorij Laguta1 2 3 3 1 R10+1
- 4Peter Karlsson0 2 1 25+2
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 0 2 2 2 18+2
- 6Linus Eklöf2 1 0 03+1
- 7Paweł PrzedpełskiFX 2 3 1 39
Heat by heat
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Kenni Larsen · SME1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC1
- Paweł Przedpełski · SMEFX
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Mikael Max · DAC2*
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1
- Peter Karlsson · SME0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Mikael Max · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Kenni Larsen · SME0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DACR
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Jason Doyle · DAC2
- Mikael Max · DAC1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1*
- Kenni Larsen · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Rasmus Jensen · DAC2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC1
- Mikael Max · DAC0
- Paweł Przedpełski · SME3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2*
- Jason Doyle · DAC1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC0
- Jason Doyle · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Grigorij Laguta · SMER
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–14 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h S
- gusts up to 64 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 1.1 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | SME | DAC | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Kenni Larsen | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.