Dackarna Målilla vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 20, 2014 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 213+1
- 2Dennis Andersson2 1 0 03+1
- 3Patryk Dudek2 2 2 3 312+2
- 4Joonas Kylmakorpi3 3 0 17
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 0 02+1
- 6Robin Aspegren2 0 0 13+1
- 7Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 28
- 1Rune Holta0 0 11+1
- 2Daniel Nermark1 1 3 2 07+1
- 3Troy Batchelor0 1 3 26+1
- 4Hans Andersen1 2 2 2 2 110+1
- 5Peter Ljung0 1 1 13+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren1 0 01+1
- 7David Watt2 3 3 3 314
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2*
- Daniel Nermark · VAS1
- Rune Holta · VAS0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · VAS1
- Troy Batchelor · VAS0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · VAS2
- Dennis Andersson · DAC1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Daniel Nermark · VAS1
- Rune Holta · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · VAS2
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Daniel Nermark · VAS3
- Hans Andersen · VAS2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS0
- Troy Batchelor · VAS3
- Daniel Nermark · VAS2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · VAS2
- Rune Holta · VAS1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Troy Batchelor · VAS2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · VAS1
- Daniel Nermark · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11–20 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | VAS | DAC | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Watt | 5 | 7.3 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Robin Aspegren | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Dennis Andersson | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Rune Holta | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 8.0 | 2 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.