Piraterna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 20, 2014 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock3 3 3 2 213+1
- 2Linus Sundstroem2 3 FX 27+2
- 3Chris Holder2 3 0 3 311
- 4Anton Rosén1 1 1 14+1
- 5Darcy Ward2 2 3 07+1
- 6Simon Gustafsson1 3 1 0 27+1
- 7Fredrik EngmanFX 0 00
- 1Peter Karlsson1 2 03
- 2Kasts Puodzuks0 00
- 3Kenni Larsen3 2 2 1 08
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 1 1 02+2
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 2 1 3 18+2
- 6Oliver Berntzon2 2 3 2 3 113+1
- 7Magnus Zetterström3 0 3 1 07
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2*
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Kasts Puodzuks · SME0
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Oliver Berntzon · SME2*
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIRFX
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Oliver Berntzon · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Kasts Puodzuks · SME0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIRFX
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Oliver Berntzon · SME3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR1*
- Peter Karlsson · SME0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Oliver Berntzon · SME2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1*
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR0
- Oliver Berntzon · SME3
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2*
- Oliver Berntzon · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Kenni Larsen · SME1
- Darcy Ward · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Kenni Larsen · SME0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–18 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| PIR | SME | PIR | SME | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 6.1 | 13 | +6.9 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 5 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Kenni Larsen | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Anton Rosén | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Darcy Ward | 4 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Peter Karlsson | 3 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.