Kumla Indianerna vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 17, 2014 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
Heat by heat
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 9–18 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| indianerna | piraterna | indianerna | piraterna | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Nicholls | 6 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 6 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 7 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Rory Schlein | 6 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Świderski | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Chris Holder | 7 | 12.8 | 7 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.