Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 9, 2014 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
Heat by heat
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 9–14 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 3.5 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| piraterna | indianerna | piraterna | indianerna | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Rory Schlein | 6 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Piotr Świderski | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Anton Rosén | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.