Vargarna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 13, 2014 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 42 : 45 DAC

VAR

1Martin Vaculik2 FX FX 2 R4+1
3Peter Kildemand2 3 3 3 FX11
4Artem Laguta0 0 1 01
5Adrian Miedziński3 1 1 1 39
6Pontus Aspgren1 2 2 3 0 311+2
7Ricky Kling0 1 1 3 16

DAC

1Mikkel B Jensen3 2 2 2 1 FX10+2
3Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 3 3 FX14+1
4Krzysztof Buczkowski0 1 FX 3 04
5Joonas Kylmakorpi0 1 0 23+2
6Robin Aspegren1 2 2 27
7Dennis Andersson3 1 2 1 07+1

Heat by heat

Heat 159.30 s3:3

Heat 259.40 s2:4

Heat 357.90 s2:4

Heat 458.30 s5:1

Heat 559.40 s4:2

Heat 657.90 s3:3

Heat 758.80 s1:5

Heat 858.90 s4:2

Heat 958.60 s1:5

Heat 1060.40 s3:3

Ricky Kling · VAR3
Robin Aspegren · DAC2
Dennis Andersson · DAC1*
Martin Vaculik · VARFX

Heat 1159.90 s4:2

Heat 1259.00 s1:5

Heat 1358.50 s5:1

Heat 1459.40 s1:5

Heat 153:0

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Showers → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 9–12 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 7 km/h SE; gusts up to 29 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 1.2 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 4.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 87 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	4	5	−1	+1
	VAR	DAC	VAR	DAC

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-4	34 %
4	0	62 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+2	74 %
7	-2	46 %
8	0	57 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-2	33 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Pontus Aspgren	6	5.2	11	+5.8
Mikkel B Jensen	6	5.4	10	+4.6
Robin Aspegren	4	5.3	7	+1.7
Nicki Pedersen	6	12.3	14	+1.7
Peter Kildemand	5	9.5	11	+1.5
Ricky Kling	5	5.2	6	+0.8
Adrian Miedziński	5	8.9	9	+0.1
Dennis Andersson	5	8.0	7	-1.0
Joonas Kylmakorpi	4	4.4	3	-1.4
Krzysztof Buczkowski	5	6.9	4	-2.9
Artem Laguta	4	7.4	1	-6.4
Martin Vaculik	5	11.5	4	-7.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.4057.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:21.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.35 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source