Piraterna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 19, 2014 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg HancockR 2 3 R5+1
- 2Linus Sundstroem1 3 3 3 212
- 3Chris Holder1 2 3 2 19+3
- 4Bjarne Pedersen0 3 2 M5+1
- 5Darcy WardR 1 3 26
- 6Fredrik Engman2 2 0 26+1
- 7Simon Gustafsson3 1 1 F5
- 1Fredrik Lindgren2 0 2 04+2
- 2Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 1 311+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 R 2 15+1
- 4Antonio Lindbäck3 2 1 1 07
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 2 39
- 6Mikael Max1 0 0 0 34
- 7Joel Andersson0 1 12
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND2*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIRR
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Mikael Max · IND1
- Joel Andersson · IND0
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2*
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Darcy Ward · PIRR
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND2
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR1
- Mikael Max · IND0
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDR
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Mikael Max · IND0
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND2*
- Darcy Ward · PIR1
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR1
- Mikael Max · IND0
- Mikael Max · IND3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Joel Andersson · IND1
- Simon Gustafsson · PIRF
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIRM
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1
- Fredrik Lindgren · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1
- Greg Hancock · PIRR
- Kenneth Bjerre · IND3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Chris Holder · PIR1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–17 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 36 km/h SW
- gusts up to 71 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 7.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIR | IND | PIR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Joel Andersson | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Darcy Ward | 4 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Mikael Max | 5 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Greg Hancock | 4 | 8.9 | 5 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.