Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 12, 2014 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 50 : 40 VAS
VAR
VAS

Heat by heat

Heat 159.20 s5:1
Heat 259.70 s1:5
Heat 359.30 s5:1
Heat 459.40 s5:1
Heat 559.60 s3:3
Heat 659.50 s5:1
Heat 759.50 s2:4
Heat 860.00 s3:3
Heat 959.50 s3:3
Heat 1061.10 s1:5
Heat 1159.80 s3:3
Heat 1259.90 s5:1
Heat 1360.30 s3:3
Heat 1460.30 s3:3
Heat 1560.10 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
13–23 °C
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind
16 km/h S
gusts up to 42 km/h
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day
2.6 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.3 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
73 %
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7108+2−2
8–10711−4+4
11–13117+4−4
14–156600
VARVASVARVAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead VAR
024681012115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2064 %
3+482 %
4+893 %
5+894 %
6+1299 %
7+1097 %
8+1098 %
9+1097 %
10+692 %
11+692 %
12+1098 %
13+10100 %
14+10100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Pontus Aspgren65.812+6.2
Jason Doyle68.212+3.8
Mathias Thörnblom55.59+3.5
Billy Forsberg56.48+1.6
Ludvig Lindgren44.04-0.0
Hans Andersen69.19-0.1
Tobiasz Musielak611.611-0.6
Martin Vaculik511.410-1.4
Przemysław Pawlicki45.94-1.9
Ricky Kling33.81-2.8
Adrian Miedziński510.57-3.5
Peter Ljung57.83-4.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.1059.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 42.0:20.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +0.90 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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