Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 5, 2014 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock3 0 2 3 210+2
- 2Bjarne Pedersen2 2 1 3 311+1
- 3Matej Zagar0 3 0 14
- 4Linus Sundstroem1 0 2 14
- 5Darcy Ward3 3 3 3 214+1
- 6Anton Rosén1 0 34+1
- 7Fredrik Engman2 1 0 14+1
- 1Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 1 25+1
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 0 FX2
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 1 19+1
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 0 08+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 2 07
- 6Dennis Andersson0 0 22
- 7Robin Aspegren3 1 1 1 R6+2
Heat by heat
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC0
- Robin Aspegren · DAC3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Matej Zagar · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1*
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Matej Zagar · PIR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1
- Matej Zagar · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC2
- Robin Aspegren · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Anton Rosén · PIR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Robin Aspegren · DACR
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · DACFX
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC2
- Matej Zagar · PIR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · DAC0
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · PIR2*
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–21 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 15.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjarne Pedersen | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Robin Aspegren | 5 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Anton Rosén | 3 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Dennis Andersson | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.