Dackarna Målilla vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 1, 2014 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 3 2 3 313
- 2Dennis Andersson1 0 01+1
- 3Patryk Dudek3 3 1 0 29+2
- 4Mikkel B Jensen0 X 00
- 5Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 3 05+2
- 6Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 2 3 214
- 7Robin Aspegren0 2 0 R2
- 1Martin Vaculik3 2 3 3 011
- 2Pontus Aspgren0 1 0 12+2
- 3Peter Kildemand1 2 2 27+1
- 4Jason Doyle2 3 1 17+1
- 5Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 1 111+1
- 6Ricky Kling2 1 1 26
- 7Billy Forsberg1 0 0 12+2
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Dennis Andersson · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Ricky Kling · VAR2
- Billy Forsberg · VAR1*
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Jason Doyle · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · DAC0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1*
- Billy Forsberg · VAR0
- Jason Doyle · VAR3
- Robin Aspegren · DAC2
- Ricky Kling · VAR1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Martin Vaculik · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · DACX
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Jason Doyle · VAR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Billy Forsberg · VAR0
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC2
- Ricky Kling · VAR1
- Robin Aspegren · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Ricky Kling · VAR2
- Billy Forsberg · VAR1*
- Robin Aspegren · DACR
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Mikkel B Jensen · DAC0
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Jason Doyle · VAR1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1
- Martin Vaculik · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 10–18 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 4.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | VAR | DAC | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Ricky Kling | 4 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Robin Aspegren | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Dennis Andersson | 3 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Billy Forsberg | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Mikkel B Jensen | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.