Vargarna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 17, 2014 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 60 : 30 SME

VAR

1Martin Vaculik3 3 2 3 112
3Peter Kildemand2 3 R 38+1
4Tomasz Gapiński3 1 1 3 19
5Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 2 1 315+1
6Billy ForsbergF 2 1 25+2
7Ricky Kling3 1 1 2 1 311+2

SME

1Peter Karlsson1 01+1
2Oliver Berntzon2 2 1 0 2 29
3Grigorij LagutaX 2 3 1 06
4Mikkel Michelsen1 0 01
5Kenni Larsen2 2 3 0 2 F9+1
6Magnus Zetterström0 2 0 0 13
7Linus Eklöf1 0 F1

Heat by heat

Heat 159.50 s3:3

Heat 261.00 s5:1

Heat 360.30 s5:1

Heat 459.30 s4:2

Heat 559.60 s4:2

Heat 659.50 s4:2

Heat 759.80 s4:2

Heat 860.60 s1:5

Heat 960.90 s5:1

Heat 1060.60 s3:3

Heat 115:1

Heat 125:1

Heat 134:2

Heat 144:2

Heat 154:2

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 13–17 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 18 km/h W; gusts up to 38 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 44 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	17	7	+10	−10
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	14	4	+10	−10
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	VAR	SME	VAR	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+10	98 %
5	+12	97 %
6	+14	99 %
7	+16	100 %
8	+12	98 %
9	+16	100 %
10	+16	100 %
11	+20	100 %
12	+24	100 %
13	+26	100 %
14	+28	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Ricky Kling	6	5.6	11	+5.4
Oliver Berntzon	6	4.7	9	+4.3
Tomasz Gapiński	5	6.0	9	+3.0
Adrian Miedziński	6	12.2	15	+2.8
Martin Vaculik	5	10.4	12	+1.6
Peter Kildemand	4	7.4	8	+0.6
Billy Forsberg	4	5.3	5	-0.3
Kenni Larsen	6	9.8	9	-0.8
Linus Eklöf	3	3.2	1	-2.2
Mikkel Michelsen	3	3.2	1	-2.2
Peter Karlsson	2	3.9	1	-2.9
Magnus Zetterström	5	7.5	3	-4.5
Grigorij Laguta	5	11.0	6	-5.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.0059.30 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 29.0:29.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.27 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source