Piraterna Speedway vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 6, 2014 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock1 1 3 R 3 08+1
- 2Linus Sundstroem2 2 FX 2 17+1
- 3Chris Holder3 1 2 3 2 112+1
- 4Anton Rosén0 00
- 5Bjarne Pedersen1 1 1 03
- 6Simon Gustafsson2 3 0 38
- 7Fredrik Engman1 1 13+2
- 1Martin Vaculik3 2 3 3 314+1
- 2Daniel Davidsson0 3 2 05+1
- 3Peter Kildemand2 2 2 1 29+3
- 4Artem Laguta1 3 3 07+1
- 5Adrian Miedziński2 1 1 26
- 6Ricky KlingR 0 22
- 7Pontus Aspgren3 0 0 3 06
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1*
- Daniel Davidsson · VAR0
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR3
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Ricky Kling · VARR
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Artem Laguta · VAR1*
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Artem Laguta · VAR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Ricky Kling · VAR0
- Daniel Davidsson · VAR3
- Martin Vaculik · VAR2*
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Artem Laguta · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIRFX
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Daniel Davidsson · VAR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR0
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1
- Greg Hancock · PIRR
- Simon Gustafsson · PIR3
- Ricky Kling · VAR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR1
- Daniel Davidsson · VAR0
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1*
- Artem Laguta · VAR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · PIR0
- Martin Vaculik · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Chris Holder · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 3–9 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 20 km/h SE
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 6.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| PIR | VAR | PIR | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Daniel Davidsson | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Anton Rosén | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Fredrik Engman | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Ricky Kling | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.