Eskilstuna Smederna vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 6, 2014 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Grigorij Laguta3 3 1 310
- 2Mikkel Michelsen2 0 1 03+1
- 3Peter Karlsson3 3 3 2 314
- 4Grzegorz Zengota1 2 2 16+2
- 5Kenni Larsen3 3 3 2 112+1
- 6Magnus Zetterström3 2 M R5+1
- 7Oliver Berntzon1 3 0 26
- 1Troy Batchelor1 1 2 3 1 210
- 2Daniel Nermark0 R0
- 3Krzysztof KasprzakR 2 1 25+1
- 4Rune Holta2 2 R 1 05
- 5Peter Ljung1 1 2 04+1
- 6Mathias Thörnblom0 1 FX 12+1
- 7David Watt2 0 3 3 R8
Heat by heat
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME2*
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1
- Daniel Nermark · VAS0
- Magnus Zetterström · SME3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Oliver Berntzon · SME1
- Mathias Thörnblom · VAS0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Rune Holta · VAS2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VASR
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- David Watt · VAS0
- Oliver Berntzon · SME3
- Rune Holta · VAS2
- Mathias Thörnblom · VAS1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1
- Daniel Nermark · VASR
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAS2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME1
- Rune Holta · VASR
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Mathias Thörnblom · VASFX
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Troy Batchelor · VAS2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAS1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SMEM
- David Watt · VAS3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2*
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1
- Oliver Berntzon · SME0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Oliver Berntzon · SME2
- Mathias Thörnblom · VAS1
- Magnus Zetterström · SMER
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAS2
- Grzegorz Zengota · SME1
- David Watt · VASR
- Troy Batchelor · VAS3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2
- Rune Holta · VAS1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Kenni Larsen · SME2*
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Troy Batchelor · VAS2
- Kenni Larsen · SME1
- Rune Holta · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 4–10 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 1.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SME | VAS | SME | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenni Larsen | 5 | 6.8 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 6 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| David Watt | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Daniel Nermark | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.